Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 3.132093 3.367382 3.621267 3.917280 4.255126 4.631383 5.085933
2026-02-01 2.697458 2.998220 3.341646 3.768269 4.292046 4.925382 5.767686
2026-02-08 2.408075 2.726743 3.102507 3.587113 4.209443 5.003110 6.130757
2026-02-15 2.251598 2.589866 2.999867 3.546297 4.277181 5.257113 6.743097
2026-02-22 2.109775 2.455688 2.883856 3.469331 4.278404 5.409034 7.222860
2026-03-01 1.972594 2.316163 2.748120 3.350330 4.203711 5.435972 7.506328
2026-03-08 1.842341 2.177074 2.602773 3.204874 4.074456 5.362230 7.606720
2026-03-15 1.780188 2.121777 2.562989 3.199479 4.143363 5.592321 8.257619
2026-03-22 1.720530 2.065976 2.518243 3.182162 4.190399 5.790203 8.888495
2026-03-29 1.664207 2.011445 2.471523 3.157526 4.222040 5.963859 9.508606
2026-04-05 1.654030 2.017851 2.508233 3.256203 4.454614 6.509421 11.034433
2026-04-12 1.614185 1.981601 2.482603 3.258749 4.530414 6.785314 12.055218
2026-04-19 1.667143 2.081208 2.663798 3.605960 5.250982 8.474841 17.615230
2026-04-26 1.577640 1.976639 2.541887 3.464788 5.099787 8.381427 18.164717
2026-05-03 1.491360 1.872893 2.415783 3.307677 4.902796 8.155306 18.188744
2026-05-10 1.443207 1.821775 2.365732 3.271809 4.927359 8.427740 20.145408
2026-05-17 1.390767 1.762196 2.299732 3.204314 4.883862 8.535007 21.589966
2026-05-24 1.332715 1.692331 2.214947 3.099697 4.758058 8.423681 22.078973
2026-05-31 1.272267 1.617119 2.119198 2.971422 4.575526 8.147656 21.705495
2026-06-07 1.245102 1.589851 2.096201 2.966655 4.638786 8.501359 24.635972
2026-06-14 1.217145 1.560352 2.068313 2.951352 4.678763 8.804887 27.730230
2026-06-21 1.189343 1.530109 2.037909 2.929569 4.702867 9.072315 31.059201
2026-06-28 1.187029 1.537794 2.067597 3.016739 4.968781 10.103303 42.192214